Your Startup Is Probably Dead On Arrival
Summary
Steve Blank argues that startups older than two years are at high risk of failure as market conditions, especially around AI, have shifted. The piece highlights a VC tilt toward AI, rapid MVP development using AI coding tools, and the rise of AI Agents that perform tasks and drive pricing by outcomes. It urges founders to pivot from legacy plans to AI-enabled strategies, focusing on customer outcomes and parallel experimentation to validate product/market fit.