Cut Off: why access to frontier AI will soon be scarce and selective
Summary
The article argues that access to frontier AI will become scarce and selective due to security concerns, compute costs, and government involvement. It outlines three driving factors (security/distillation risks, compute constraints, and U.S. policy) and offers potential responses such as building more data centers, forming cross-border compute deals, and designing a diffusion path that mitigates geopolitical risk. The piece also warns of an uneven future where access to advanced AI is concentrated among a few defenders and privileged firms.