China vs Taiwan: The Geography of an Unfinished War
Summary
The article argues that Taiwan's strategic value arises from geography, energy dependence, and its central role in the global semiconductor ecosystem, making it a pivotal hinge in Indo-Pacific power dynamics. It outlines multiple potential trajectories—managed tension, coercive pressure, or open conflict—and emphasizes how maritime routes and technology supply chains shape security and diplomacy. The piece leverages CSIS and EIA analyses to highlight economic and strategic vulnerabilities tied to Taiwan's island status.